Typhoon Lupit is forecast to strike the Philippines at 22 October

Typhoon Lupit

19 Oct 2009 12:55:00 GMT

Source: Tropical Storm Risk

Mark Saunders

Website: http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com

Reuters and AlertNet are not responsible for the content of this article or for any external internet sites. The views expressed are the author's alone.

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Track and windspeed of Typhoon Lupit

Typhoon Lupit is forecast to strike the Philippines at about 00:00 GMT on 22 October. Data supplied by the US Navy and Air Force Joint Typhoon Warning Center suggest that the point of landfall will be near 18.6 N, 123.2 E. Lupit is expected to bring 1-minute maximum sustained winds to the region of around 185 km/h (114 mph). Wind gusts in the area may be considerably higher.

According to the Saffir-Simpson damage scale the potential property damage and flooding from a storm of Lupit's strength (category 3) at landfall includes:

• Storm surge generally 2.7-3.7 metres (9-12 feet) above normal.
• Some structural damage to small residences and utility buildings with a minor amount of curtainwall failures.
• Damage to shrubbery and trees with foliage blown off trees and large trees blown down.
• Mobile homes and poorly constructed signs are destroyed.
• Low-lying escape routes are cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the centre of the storm.
• Flooding near the coast destroys smaller structures with larger structures damaged by battering from floating debris.
• Terrain continuously lower than 1.5 metres (5 feet) above mean sea level may be flooded inland 13 km (8 miles) or more.
• Evacuation of low-lying residences within several blocks of the shoreline may be required.

There is also the potential for flooding further inland due to heavy rain.

The information above is provided for guidance only and should not be used to make life or death decisions or decisions relating to property. Anyone in the region who is concerned for their personal safety or property should contact their official national weather agency or warning centre for advice.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and University College London (UCL). TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.

http://www.alertnet.org/thefacts/reliefresources/TSR/200922W_22W.htm

Supertyphoon Lupit Weakens Slightly

Supertyphoon Lupit Weakens Slightly on Path Toward Philippines

By Aaron Sheldrick

Oct. 19 (Bloomberg) -- Supertyphoon Lupit weakened slightly east of the Philippines, where authorities are planning evacuations should the storm approach after the deaths of more than 770 people in cyclones since Sept. 26.

Lupit was 1,158 kilometers (719 miles) east-northeast of Palanan on Luzon island at 2 p.m. Philippines time today, the U.S. Navy Joint Typhoon Warning Center said. The storm was moving northwest at 19 kilometers per hour. Lupit’s maximum sustained winds fell to 241 kph from 250 kph earlier.

Lupit is forecast to swing to the west and approach northern Luzon by 2 p.m. on Oct. 22, according to the Navy’s five-day forecast. It’s expected to weaken by then, with its winds forecast to decline to 222 kph.

A state of calamity remains in effect after the island was devastated by Typhoon Parma and Tropical Storm Ketsana. The government is delivering food and other relief supplies to areas that may be cut off by Lupit, Defense Secretary Gilbert Teodoro said yesterday.

Lupit is a Category 4 storm, the second-strongest on the Saffir-Simpson scale of cyclone strength. Such storms have winds of between 210 and 249 kph and are capable of causing “devastating damage,” according to the U.S. National Hurricane Center.

Lupit means cruel in Tagalog, the main language of the Philippines, according to the Hong Kong Observatory, which lists names in use for Pacific storms on its Web site.

Parma crossed Luzon three times earlier this month, leaving at least 438 people dead, according to the National Disaster Coordinating Council. Fifty-one people remain missing while more than 32,000 are in evacuation centers.

Ketsana left 337 people dead and 37 missing when it crossed Luzon on Sept. 26.

To contact the reporter on this story: Aaron Sheldrick in Tokyo atasheldrick@bloomberg.net.

Last Updated: October 19, 2009 04:58 EDT

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601092&sid=atQUZXZyjSTY

Filipina Waspadai Badai Baru

Filipina Waspadai Badai Baru

WRITTEN BY REDAKSI WEB

saturday, 17 october 2009 09:36

Penduduk di Filipina bagian utara kembali harus bersiap melakukan evakuasi untuk mengantisipasi datangnya badai baru. Badai ini akan menjadi yang ketiga yang menghampiri Filipina dalam sebulan terakhir. Padahal, mereka baru saja berbenah akibat bencana tanah longsor baru-baru ini. Para analis memperkirakan, Badai Tropis Lupit akan memasuki wilayah perairan Filipina pada Jumat malam waktu setempat, (16/10). Peringatan tersebut muncul setelah badai yang muncul sejak 26 September lalu menimbulkan banjir terburuk dalam 40 tahun terakhir di ibukota Manila dan sekitarnya, dan menyebabkan tanah longsor di pegunungan Cordillera di utara Filipina. Tanah longsor tersebut menewaskan 773 orang dan berdampak pada lebih dari 7 juta warga. Analis cuaca, Nathaniel Cruz, mengatakan, Badai Tropis Lupit kemungkinan akan semakin intensif hingga menjadi topan besar saat mendarat di dataran pada pekan depan, dengan kecepatan angin 230 kilometer per jam. Analis memperkirakan Badai Lupit akan masuk ke perairan Filipina pada Jumat malam waktu setempat. Badai baru ini juga akan mengarah ke Taiwan awal pekan depan. Namun Lupit bisa saja mengikuti jalur Topan Parma yang mendarat pada 3 Oktober lalu. Petugas penanggulangan bencana di wilayah Cordillera menyarankan agar ribuan warga bersiap menyelamatkan diri ke lokasi yang lebih aman. Tujuannya untuk menghindari ancaman tanah longsor yang mengubur ratusan rumah dengan orang-orang di dalamnya pada pekan lalu. Tanah longsor itu juga menutup akses ke lokasi dan mengisolasi wilayah bencana selama berhari-hari. VIVA | GLOBAL | MANILA

LAST UPDATED ON SATURDAY, 17 OCTOBER 2009 10:24 http://www.harian-global.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=21525&Itemid=55